Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.421229e-05 4.094380e-05 0.000048 0.000057 0.000066 0.000076 0.000088
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.489169e-05 3.329922e-05 0.000043 0.000055 0.000069 0.000085 0.000105
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.944999e-05 2.873037e-05 0.000040 0.000055 0.000073 0.000095 0.000122
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.465203e-05 2.396117e-05 0.000036 0.000053 0.000074 0.000100 0.000133
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.128926e-05 2.041524e-05 0.000033 0.000051 0.000075 0.000105 0.000145
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 9.145391e-06 1.817381e-05 0.000031 0.000051 0.000078 0.000112 0.000158
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.201958e-06 1.584809e-05 0.000029 0.000050 0.000079 0.000117 0.000169
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.707189e-06 1.394069e-05 0.000027 0.000049 0.000080 0.000122 0.000180
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.447528e-06 1.216167e-05 0.000026 0.000048 0.000081 0.000126 0.000190
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.310066e-06 1.032225e-05 0.000023 0.000046 0.000080 0.000128 0.000197
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.352459e-06 8.559782e-06 0.000021 0.000043 0.000079 0.000129 0.000202
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.703300e-06 7.266788e-06 0.000019 0.000042 0.000078 0.000131 0.000208
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.346257e-06 6.717043e-06 0.000019 0.000043 0.000083 0.000142 0.000229
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.642647e-07 5.539706e-06 0.000017 0.000042 0.000084 0.000147 0.000242
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.856068e-07 4.801694e-06 0.000017 0.000042 0.000087 0.000155 0.000259
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.202139e-07 3.808664e-06 0.000015 0.000040 0.000086 0.000158 0.000269
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.666547e-07 3.064496e-06 0.000014 0.000039 0.000086 0.000162 0.000280
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.202104e-08 2.619248e-06 0.000013 0.000039 0.000088 0.000169 0.000296
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.934343e-08 2.129214e-06 0.000012 0.000038 0.000089 0.000173 0.000309
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.370207e-08 1.736880e-06 0.000011 0.000037 0.000090 0.000178 0.000322
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.719164e-09 1.378814e-06 0.000010 0.000036 0.000090 0.000183 0.000334
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.742731e-11 1.023953e-06 0.000009 0.000034 0.000089 0.000184 0.000342
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 7.119871e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000087 0.000184 0.000348